Climate flood risk in a changing climate: a guide for underwriters

Underwriters playbook
White paper 27.04.2026
Intro

Our downloadable playbook will help you master the technical frameworks, data strategies and portfolio insights to transform flood-risk volatility into a competitive edge.

Playbook

About this playbook

The global insurance market is evolving. Through 2026 and beyond, it is expected to move from a period of strong profitability and sharp rate increases into a softer phase characterised by heightened competition and more moderate pricing growth. At the same time, climate change is intensifying flood risk, while loss costs continue to rise due to economic and social inflation.

How do flood underwriters remain both competitive and profitable in this changing market? What tools, solutions and strategies are there to help you turn climate risk into opportunity? We’ve created a downloadable underwriting resource that will help you navigate the new insurance landscape, exploring how an evolving climate is affecting both flood risk and the way underwriters manage it. 

Download the playbook

Calculating flood risk in a changing climate

Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of flood events on a significant and global scale. Floods now account for up to 40% of extreme weather-related disasters, and the number of people exposed to flood risk increased by almost 25% between 2000 and 2020.

According to Swiss Re, global insured losses from natural catastrophes reached $107 billion in 2025, with flooding a primary driver of those losses. This underlines the urgent need for better risk modeling and adaptation strategies.

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The big three challenges for underwriters – and their solutions

Challenge 1

Standing out from the crowd

Traditional risk assessment doesn’t have the granularity needed to balance profitability with competitive pricing.

Challenge 2

Drowning in data

Processing numerous and increasingly large and complex datasets takes time – and timelines are getting shorter.

Challenge 3

The uncertainty gap

There’s no way to avoid uncertainty in flood risk, which makes it difficult to estimate the probability and financial impact of future events.

Solution 1

Reliable, validated, high-resolution flood hazard data.

Solution 2

Agile tools such as Risk Scores  that translate complex variables into a single, actionable metric.

Solution 3

A glass-box approach to building flood models means you can gauge and quantify uncertainty.

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Download to get insights on

  • Data strategies that improve pricing precision and portfolio performance
  • How to turn flood risk uncertainty into measurable competitive advantage
  • Tools that help you stay profitable as the market softens
  • Practical frameworks for underwriting in a non-stationary climate
  • How climate change is reshaping flood frequency, severity and loss volatility

Unlock underwriting insights by downloading our playbook

Our practical guide explores the challenges that underwriters are facing in a non-stationary climate, and lays out some of the tools, strategies and solutions that will help to not just survive but to thrive.

Insurers already trusting Fathom flood data

Quote When managed properly, as laid out in this guide, rising climate risk presents a valuable opportunity for proactive flood risk underwriters. Rather than posing a threat to profitability, it offers insurers a unique chance to improve and expand their margins, build resilience, and diversify in today’